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Iowa Senate Race Polls Tighten as Debates Begin, But the Undecided Numbers Tell a Different Story
The consensus read on the Iowa Senate race polls is straightforward: Josh Turek has momentum, independents love him, and the debate stage is his to lose. A closer look at the numbers…
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Texas Red Diesel Waiver Looks Bigger Than It Is
The Texas red diesel waiver declared by Governor Greg Abbott on 28 September has been widely read as a meaningful response to soaring fuel costs. The mechanics underneath suggest a more…
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US Mortgage Lock-In Effect Is Freezing Supply, and Quietly Inflating Prices
The consensus on the US mortgage lock-in effect treats it as a demand story: homeowners won’t move, sales have plunged, the market is stuck. What that framing underweights is the…
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PCE Inflation Methodology Changes Trim the Numbers, Not the Problem
The consensus read on today’s Bureau of Economic Analysis revisions is that the PCE inflation methodology changes brought welcome relief, shaving basis points off the numbers the Fed…
