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US Strike on Larak Island Draws Muted Markets but a Sharp IRGC Warning
The consensus read on Sunday’s US strike on Larak Island is that markets shrugged it off and both sides are keeping the lid on escalation. The price action says something a little more…
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AI Inflation PCE Price Index Data Shows Tech Costs Are Now a Macro Problem
The AI inflation PCE price index reading for July has produced a number the consensus is filing under ‘tariff noise.’ That framing may be costing analysts something important. The…
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Operation Economic Outcast Iran: The D-Day Comparison That Doesn’t Hold Up
The prevailing read on Operation Economic Outcast Iran is that Washington has finally got serious about strangling the Iranian economy. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s D-Day rhetoric,…
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Bessent Treasury Buyback Effect Lasts Two Days as 30-Year Yield Climbs Back to 5.27%
The Bessent Treasury buyback effect has now fully unwound: the 30-year yield has clawed back every basis point it surrendered on Wednesday, rising a further 4 basis points on Friday to 5.27%,…
